Análise da Guerra Israel/Hezbollah

PISTAS DE LEITURA DE JOHN ROBB

" With Hezbollah’s entry into the war between Israel and Hamas, Fourth Generation war has taken another developmental step forward. For the first time, a non-state entity has gone to war with a state not by waging an insurgency against a state invader, but across an international boundary (Robb note: I would argue that 9/11 was that developmental step). Again we see how those who define 4GW simply as insurgency are looking at only a small part of the picture.

I think the stakes in the Israel-Hezbollah-Hamas war are significantly higher than most observers understand. If Hezbollah and Hamas win—and winning just means surviving, given that Israel’s objective is to destroy both entities—a powerful state will have suffered a new kind of defeat, again, a defeat across at least one international boundary and maybe two, depending on how one defines Gaza’s border. The balance between states and 4GW forces will be altered world-wide, and not to a trivial degree. "

•  Israel's use of systems disruption to coerce Lebanon
• THE SECRETS OF HEZBOLLAH'S SUCCESS
• ISRAEL'S LEBANON MASHUP

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